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There will be a result which we will, at least initially nto only back, but applaud. The violence, in my estimation will then turn from an 'insurgency' to a 'civil war'. It won't have to change in any way to do that, it will be a fact as soon as it's a war against a government, legitimate or not, instead of against an occupying force.
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You don't go from insurgency to civil war. An isurgency is when outside forces come in to fight. These aren't Iraqis leading the charge.
I have no illusions about the time immediatly before and after the elctions. They will be bloodbaths. But, I see that burning itsel out.
The Iraqi people as a whole just won't go along with it. They have little reason ot believe that some asshole from Pakistan who is sending suicide bombers into mosques has more of their interests in mind than the Americans there fighting the insurgents.