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ScruU2wice ScruU2wice is offline
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Old Nov 4th, 2007, 09:03 PM        Pakistan <3 martial law
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/04/world/asia/04cnd-pakistan.html?bl&ex=1194325200&en=348706ccda3156b4 &ei=5087%0A


Now I'll admit that the only reason this has rattled my otherwise apolitical cage is because my parents are from this country and I have family there. That being said it still seems like some elaborate joke. Like every time you hear someone say that someplace is built on a indian burial ground you snicker a little. That's how I feel when I hear someone is working on doing a reenactment of V for Vendetta or 1984 with a real country.
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mburbank mburbank is offline
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Old Nov 5th, 2007, 11:48 AM       
It's pretty bad news, and Mushariff knows the US won't do anything more about it than make noise.

Who would have thought the military dictator would prove such an unreliable ally in our efforts to spread democracy?
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KevinTheOmnivore KevinTheOmnivore is offline
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Old Nov 5th, 2007, 12:17 PM       
It's not that simple, Max.

The Left cries on and on about realism based foreign policy...well how would abandoning Musharraf be that? If we lose Pakistan, we lose military capabilities in Afghnistan. Which post-bloc, undemocratic regime would you like to make nice with in their place? Uzbekistan (they soured on us after we denounced some of their past behavior)? Kazakhstan? China???

Abandon Pakistan, and you abandon a legitimate focal point in the war on terrorism.

And who should we instead support in Pakistan? Ali Eteraz recently put it best:

Quote:
Musharraf is not Enlightened, its true; how can he be when he is a dictator? However, is there an alternative? Perhaps the reign of extra-judicial police killings and smuggler’s nepotism that electing Benazir Bhutto assures? How about the Islamist overlordship of former Zia ul Haq protege Nawaz Sharif? Better yet, perhaps the assuring democracy of Maulana Fazlur Rahman, the aspirant Caliph from the Jamat e Islami? If you were a Pakistani citizen, what would you choose? Suffer and fight in order to bring feudal lords and mullahs into power, or just go back to work and let the chips fall where they may? Idealism or pessimism?
Of course none of this is preferable. Watching a junta arrest lawyers and suspend elections is terrible, but what precisely should we do?
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mburbank mburbank is offline
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Old Nov 5th, 2007, 04:08 PM       
I'm not advocating abandoning Mushariff. We have little choice but to stick by him, which he knows, which is why he acts so freely.

My objection was getting so chummy with him in the first place, but like everything else, it's far too late now.

Did we need his support to route the Taliban? It was helpful, but that first step was mostly bombing. We could have used him as a wall at Tora Bora, we tried, it didn't work. After that we absolutely needed whatever he cared to give us since we took the war to Iraq.

It's ironic that weapons of mass destruction, and passing nuclear knowledge to terrorist regimes, the supposed reasons we had to invade Iraq, are things we looked the other way for with Pakistan, because they were our allies.

Realistically, we have about zero levarage with Pakistan. They can do whatever they want.

However, I don't think we should beg for table scraps we're not going to get anyway. Mushariff has his own reasons to fear Al Quaeda. He's got a pretty narrow choice to make right now. Either go up against the tribal areas in a very ugly way he hasn't been willing to do this far, or make a deal with them. If he makes a deal, we are so in the shit it costs us little to cut off his cash. If he doesn't, we finance a nuclear military dictatorship in the cause of spreading democracy. But those were almost certainly the choices we'd end up with from the moment we chose to make Mushariff a lynchpin of our foreign policy.
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KevinTheOmnivore KevinTheOmnivore is offline
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Old Nov 5th, 2007, 04:46 PM       
Quote:
Originally Posted by mburbank View Post
Did we need his support to route the Taliban? It was helpful, but that first step was mostly bombing. We could have used him as a wall at Tora Bora, we tried, it didn't work. After that we absolutely needed whatever he cared to give us since we took the war to Iraq.
You are mistaken. We pay this regime nearly $100 million every month for logistical support, which includes rights to various air fields, bases, etc.

If we never had that, the invasion (and bombing) of Afghanistan would've been different. Not happen? No, we still would've attacked. But the point is pull out a map, and check out the despots and failed states surrounding Afghanistan.

We needed Pakistan.

Quote:
It's ironic that weapons of mass destruction, and passing nuclear knowledge to terrorist regimes, the supposed reasons we had to invade Iraq, are things we looked the other way for with Pakistan, because they were our allies.
Ok, and despite doing it for the sake of being contrarian, I don't see any solutions or suggestions here. We shouldn't have invaded Iraq, but we should've invaded a country with double the population, and arguably a more militant muslim community? With the Taliban right there? Does that make sense?

We didn't "look the other way," either. We can compel that regime in ways we can't do to others. We certainly wouldn't be able to do so with an Islamic regime.

Quote:
Realistically, we have about zero levarage with Pakistan. They can do whatever they want.
}If you believe this to be true, than why do you think we have no choice but to support Musharraf? Why not move on, start from the drawing board? Pay off some "national front" to topple him, appease the lunatic mullahs and help us out?

There's a balancing act to just how much Musharraf can do for us, lest he come across as he is coming across right now. When a dictator acts, people tend to notice. Motives be damned.

Quote:
Either go up against the tribal areas in a very ugly way he hasn't been willing to do this far, or make a deal with them. If he makes a deal, we are so in the shit it costs us little to cut off his cash. If he doesn't, we finance a nuclear military dictatorship in the cause of spreading democracy. But those were almost certainly the choices we'd end up with from the moment we chose to make Mushariff a lynchpin of our foreign policy.
Welcome to foreign policy. You don't want to "spread democracy," yet you are appalled when we allign with dictators? What's the third way, isolation?
Musharraf can crush the radicals militarily, but then he loses a political battle. I believe the actions over the last two days are the result of a neurotic and besieged military ruler...albeit a basically secular one, who snubs the religious courts and the radical Islamists.

None of this is pretty, and none of it is easy. But our government has taken the correct position here--dismay and discretion. It has been a few days, and we need to see how it plays out.
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Preechr Preechr is offline
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Old Nov 6th, 2007, 02:44 AM       
Hmmm... I'll defer to Kevin on this one. lol

What exactly IS our alternative here, Max? Anybody?
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mburbank~ Yes, okay, fine, I do know what you meant, but why is it not possible for you to get through a paragraph without making all the words cry?

How can someone who obviously thinks so much of their ideas have so little respect for expressing them? How can someone who so yearns to be taken seriously make so little effort?!
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