Scenario!!! Scenario!!!

[KevinTheOmnivore]

Ugh, this deterministic attitude is cute and all, but not realistic. Let's look at what Bush has going for him, and what holes could be exposed in it:

1. The economy

- This is the toughest one, but the economic upturn has been primarily a jobless one, and unless more people start seeing a direct benefit from all this happy talk about Bull markets, then it might not matter.

2. Defense and terrorism

- Well, we just triumphed over a country that had nothing to do with 9/11, and contrary to every chicken little rant Raygun once posted here, the "stockpiles" of WMD promised by this administration never turned up. The "45 minute threat" promised to us, and members of our Congress by this administration clearly wasn't possible. And now there's a chance that this administration couldn't even avoid lying about capturing Saddam Hussein. The Democratic candidate can exploit these consistent lies, as well as the body bag count coming home to small town, USA, and turn the "war on terrorism" back on him.

3. Medicare

- As I've already mentioned in another thread, the elderly demographic who actually instill fear in any candidate for office aren't benefiting from this new bill. A lot of elderly folks don't even understand the changes yet, and many have left the AARP in disgust when they did get it. People tend to vote consistently, and it can take YEARS for realignments and voting changes to go down. The Republican Party will need to show several more years of benefits for the elderly before they swing voters permanently. The Democrats will form around one candidate, the unions will fall in line, as will the AARP. Don't give the medicare vote to Bush just yet....

There's other stuff, but those were big ones that stuck out.....