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Originally Posted by pinky lee
well you should hope that Gephardt wins the nomination, and not Dean if you are a Democrat- Dean is going to cause a whole new wave of Reagan Democrats- conservative Dems who cant stomach a hard lefty like Dean and who might vote straight Rep ticket
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Again, I ask you to prove to me what makes Howard Dean a "hard lefty." Gephardt is too synonymous with weakness to many on the left, and I think the grassroots base of the party will reject him on those grounds.
If some Dems. want to switch over temporarily or permanently, well that's theie perogative. It may be a good thing, cuz another realignment might be in order at this point in the game....
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Labor delivered the votes for Bill Clinton in 1996 and Al Gore in 2000. But union members are much more conservative on issues like national security and gun control, and not likely to fall in line behind an old school peacenik like Dean.
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Right criticism, wrong issue. If you've looked into Dean, or "Ho Ho" as he's called by Vermonters, you'd se that he is fairly conservative on gun matters. And as far as national security goes, he has taken cutting the defense budget off the table already. He believes in an investment in the "Star Wars" program, and his stance on the war was more conditional on a UN mandate than anything else. He has presented himself in a way to show that he doesn't oppose force or war, but he did oppose
this war.
On the other hand, labor won't be stabbed in the back again like they were by Clinton. Dean has essentially endorsed the neo-liberal policies of Clinton on free trade and such, and
that might cost him the labor vote.
However, once again, winning often becomes more important than idealism, and the current flocking of lefties to the Dean campaign serves as an excellent example....
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Some labor leaders are agitating to back a single Democratic candidate to offsett Dean. The Teamsters already endorsed Gephardt and several other unions are also backing Gephardt.
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This will mean nothing however if Gephardt bows out as a result of poor primary results. I'm not sure oif it was the article you linked me, but it mentioned the primaries working sort of like the NCAA tournament, producing regional candidates...? As I think you've mentioned, Gephardt is riding on Iowa.....
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But Gephardt 's an uninspiring candidate.
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I agree completely.
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Union members may give him their vote but first they have to care enough to come to the polls. Dean can speak to the 25 percent of voters who hate Bush and will bring out college students who otherwise wouldn't vote. And in a primary with a lot of candidates, that could be all it takes to win. That would leave labor in using membership money to back a candidate its members can't stomach.
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Again, the labor backlash against Dean may be just a
bit overstated. As far as the sterotypical class traits of blue collar workers go, Dean is basically on the same page as them. Fair trade may be where he gets hit from them, but that's where the buzzing bee candidacies of Dennis Kucinich and maybe(?) even Ralph Nader or Cynthia McKinney come into play. Kucinich has consistently attacked Dean for not being the lefty he essentially promised to be (sort of). Kucinich realizes he has no shot in hell, I don't care what anybody tells ya. But he has essentially dismissed a run with the Green Party or as an independent, cuz again (back to the crux!), winning and anti-bushism has become more important than ideology. Kucinich will be the proverbial thorn in Dean's side, and that just might be what keeps Dean a possibility for the labor vote (see the Dem. debate before the AFL-CIO a few weeks ago).
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Dean may talk the talk on trade and job protection, but union members are smart enough to know that jobs don't come from that far left. Privately, some union officials hint they may effectively sit out the general election if Dean wins the nomination.
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This will
never happen, it's a flat out bluff. They will support probably WHOEVER the Democrats run, period.
And pinky, please don't think I was patronizing you, I truly am grateful you aren't THIS:
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Originally Posted by VinceZeb
I'll break it down:
If you ask most people why they wouldn't vote for Bush, they couldn't give you a real reason. The only reasons they have is because a celeberty said something or some so called "political expert" said something. They haven't done any research or even know shit about politics. I generally refer to these people as sheeple.
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And you're telling me that every person who voted for Bush in 2000, and every voter who will likely vote for him in 2004, understand COMPLETELY why they vote the way they do....?
Please, just, stop. Stop. No more.