Close....but Bush is ahead....and Nadar may be a factor.

[Baalzamon]

Although I wouldnt vote for him, I think bush will win.

Kerry is too easy to pin as a "liberal", and there are too many issues hes flip-floped on. His voting record alone will leave him so busy defending himself that his current "momentum" will be all but spent come november.

Although I think they are ruining the country, I'm pretty sure the republican party is clever enough to dig up enough on this guy to ruin his image throughly before november. I predict a solid victory for bush this time, at least 5-10 percentage points.

There are also enough potential war on terror related factors that could pop up all of a sudden and give a boost in time for november. If the republican party is smart they are arranging the timing of key events in the war over the next few months to make themselves look good.

And as much as that may sound bad, its only sound political strategy. Why do something amazing right now when you can wait a few months and get the same result, but with better timing for yourself?

Unless the bush administration screws up enough to really, really make people notice and get angry, they will win. Looking at what they are currently getting away with, I shudder to think of what the magnitude of such a screw up could be.