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mburbank mburbank is offline
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Old Apr 26th, 2007, 09:32 AM       
Plus, it fits nicely with Wolfies quote about WMD having just been the most sellable reasoning and the Neocon concept of the 'Noble Lie'.
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KevinTheOmnivore KevinTheOmnivore is offline
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Old Apr 26th, 2007, 02:44 PM       
Seth, while I always appreciate your insights regarding just about everything, don't you think even Geggy probably beat you to the punch on the whole "IT'S PNAC PAX AMERICANO WITH SOY MILK!22!1" thing??? I mean, seriously, how many people were saying this before we even went to war (I was probably one of them, too)?

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Go in, brutally rape Iraq and rebuild it in a couple of months, then hope that other Middle Eastern regimes get the message and clean up their act autonomously.
I think your use of the words "brutally rape" is interesting, since it's what Hussein and his sons used to do to their people for enjoyment...but I digress.

I think your argument is fair...not entirely accurate, but still fair. I believed prior to the invasion, and still believe today, that this administration became overzealous with a desire to include Iraq in the War on Terror, so much so that they jumped at any shit intelligence they saw in front of them in order to mobilize for war. I think they saw Iraq as a weaker link in a generally rotten network of regimes that were aiding in keeping the Middle East under the grip of oil oligarchies. Before the war, it was the war CRITICS who were pointing out how Iraq had the largest middle class in the Middle East, the resources, the education, etc. to create a sustainable liberal democracy...or something like that. I think Iraq represented all of those things in what they saw as a broad plan to end what had been fueling Islamic Terrorism.

However, there are a few obvious things that are worth pointing out here:I think that last point is especially pertinent. Through our own government's actions, we have shown the rest of the world that if you misbehave we will bother you (Iran, Iraq, Syria), but if you already HAVE a nuke (North Korea, China) we will coddle you and talk about third party negotiations. Saddam Hussein had every reason in the world to have a nuclear weapon, especially knowing that his position in the Middle East was always in question.

Also, as an addendum to the point about Saddam being not a nice guy, Hussein had a massive destabilizing effect on the Middle East. He initiated two wars that hit the oil markets and left thousands upon thousands dead. A lot of attention has been paid to what we alone have done to Iraq, without paying any attention to the full context of what the Hussein dictatorship did to the entire Middle East. Do tyrants ever think they're going to die? If they've already twice before shown you the imperialistic ambitions they have, what leads one to believe they wouldn't try at it again?

I think this is one of the fatal flaws in your argument, Seth. By ridding the country of an imperialist, you declare us as imperialists. And the main foundation you have for this is that we're still there and won't say when we will leave.

Huh? So staying in a country you "brutally raped" until you can help properly rebuild it is Pax Americana? We have historical evidence in Afghanistan that leaving a shattered and sectarian nation in the hands of the radicals and the warlords leads to pretybad things. It seems less like imperialism, and more like an attempt at not repeating history.
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theapportioner theapportioner is offline
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Old Apr 27th, 2007, 12:24 AM       
I think we can say that the reasons for going to war in the first place (dubious at best) are largely irrelevant now. Even dreams of remaking the Middle East are more or less shattered.

The reason why some want to stay in Iraq now is to clean up our damn mess. The justification for the proposed course of action (increase troops by a bit, stay there indefinitely) is that things will get better. However that's altogether unclear to me.

Why should we believe that staying there a couple years longer will make things any better in the long run? They've been feeding us that same old drivel for the past four years now. Oh, we should just hope, believe in America, believe in Iraqis, blah blah blah. We could stay there another five or ten years and not establish any long-term stability in that country.
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KevinTheOmnivore KevinTheOmnivore is offline
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Old Apr 27th, 2007, 01:24 AM       
Would you even believe any positive feedback on Iraq? Since General Petraeus has taken over under the so-called surge, there has been some substantive change. Baghdad has been brought under control exponentially, and places such as Anbar have made a remarkably quick turnaround.

Would any good news sway you? My guess is no, and my guess is that your opinion is a political one that's already decided.

Seth, I'll touch on your thoughts later.
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Old Apr 27th, 2007, 04:10 PM       
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Originally Posted by KevinTheOmnivore View Post
Would you even believe any positive feedback on Iraq? Since General Petraeus has taken over under the so-called surge, there has been some substantive change. Baghdad has been brought under control exponentially, and places such as Anbar have made a remarkably quick turnaround.

Would any good news sway you? My guess is no, and my guess is that your opinion is a political one that's already decided.

Seth, I'll touch on your thoughts later.
Speaking for myself, I dont find it hard to believe reports of reductions in casualties (I'm assuming "exponential" is hyperbole) when there are tanks and humvees on every other street corner. Those statistics also say that the number of attacks remains steady. I'm not sure "turnaround" was the best word choice, either. (What I can't believe is the notion that Iraq was going to build a nuke, try as they might, under the noses of the international community- or US intelligence, for that matter. Anyone who believes otherwise is drinking kool-aid.)

The blatant waste and mismanagement of something so serious as an invasion isn't going to be absolved by even the greatest of triumphs, so believe me I am eager to hear something encouraging here.
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theapportioner theapportioner is offline
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Old Apr 28th, 2007, 02:21 AM       
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Originally Posted by KevinTheOmnivore View Post
Would you even believe any positive feedback on Iraq? Since General Petraeus has taken over under the so-called surge, there has been some substantive change. Baghdad has been brought under control exponentially, and places such as Anbar have made a remarkably quick turnaround.

Would any good news sway you? My guess is no, and my guess is that your opinion is a political one that's already decided.
Would I believe any positive news on Iraq? Of course. Whether that news is just a blip in the natural ebbs and flows of a generally intractable situation, or whether it reflects substantive moves towards long-term stability and recovery is another matter entirely. In the last four years, the overall trend has not been good. As derrida says, the increased presence has hardly stanched the number of attacks, and moreover, public opinion of the American presence there is dismal. Iraqis see the Americans as not helping at all, and the overwhelming majority want them to leave. I doubt that's going to change anytime soon.

And come on, is building a bunch of walls a serious long-term solution to the problem?

I'd like to see Iraq turn the corner, but I just don't think it's going to happen with us being there.
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Ant10708 Ant10708 is offline
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Old Apr 29th, 2007, 02:16 PM       
Iraqis are fucked.
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I'm all for the idea of stoning the rapists, but to death...? That's a bit of a stretch, but I think the system will work. - Geggy
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theapportioner theapportioner is offline
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Old Apr 30th, 2007, 12:38 PM       
Here's an op/ed by Bill Buckley

http://article.nationalreview.com/?q...lkOTE5OWVkOTc=
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But beyond affirming executive supremacy in matters of war, what is George Bush going to do? It is simply untrue that we are making decisive progress in Iraq. The indicators rise and fall from day to day, week to week, month to month. In South Vietnam there was an organized enemy. There is clearly organization in the strikes by the terrorists against our forces and against the civil government in Iraq, but whereas in Vietnam we had Hanoi as the operative headquarters of the enemy, we have no equivalent of that in Iraq, and that is a matter of paralyzing importance. All those bombings, explosions, assassinations: we are driven to believe that they are, so to speak, spontaneous.

When the Romans were challenged by Christianity, Rome fell. The generation of Christians moved by their faith overwhelmed the regimented reserves of the Roman state. It was four years ago that Mr. Cheney first observed that there was a real fear that each fallen terrorist leads to the materialization of another terrorist. What can a “surge,” of the kind we are now relying upon, do to cope with endemic disease? The parallel even comes to mind of the eventual collapse of Prohibition, because there wasn’t any way the government could neutralize the appetite for alcohol, or the resourcefulness of the freeman in acquiring it.

General Petraeus is a wonderfully commanding figure. But if the enemy is in the nature of a disease, he cannot win against it.
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